Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert M. Cadena a 26% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Wendell Champion won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Robert M. Cadena — 26% model odds
  2. Truly Heiskell — 26% model odds
  3. Wendell Champion — 12% model odds (won)
  4. T.C. Manning — 12% model odds
  5. Nathan J. Milliron — 12% model odds
  6. Ava Reynero Pate — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts