Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sheila Jackson Lee a 77% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Sheila Jackson Lee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sheila Jackson Lee — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Stevens Orozco — 6% model odds
  3. Marc Flores — 4% model odds
  4. Bimal Patel — 4% model odds
  5. Michael Allen — 4% model odds
  6. Donovan Boson — 4% model odds
  7. Jerry Ford Sr. — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts