Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave William, Iii Foster a 66% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Rick Kennedy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. William, Iii Foster — 66% model odds
  2. Rick Kennedy — 17% model odds (won)
  3. David Anthony Jaramillo — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts