Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Irene Armendariz-Jackson a 94% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Irene Armendariz-Jackson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Irene Armendariz-Jackson — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Sam Williams — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts