Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Irene Armendariz-Jackson a 68% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Sam Williams won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Irene Armendariz-Jackson — 68% model odds
- Jaime, Jr. Arriola — 13% model odds
- Anthony Aguero — 6% model odds
- Patrick Hernandez-Cigarruista — 6% model odds
- Sam Williams — 4% model odds (won)
- Blanca Ortiz Trout — 3% model odds