Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez an 81% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Ryan Krause Krause — 9% model odds
  3. Tim Westley Westley — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts