Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ronny Jackson a 42% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Josh Winegarner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Ronny Jackson — 42% model odds
- Josh Winegarner — 14% model odds (won)
- Chris Ekstrom — 8% model odds
- Elaine Hays — 8% model odds
- Asusena Reséndiz — 6% model odds
- Richard Herman — 3% model odds
- Lee Harvey — 2% model odds
- Vance, Ii Snider — 2% model odds