Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gus Trujillo a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Gus Trujillo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gus Trujillo — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Sagan Sagan — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts