Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave August Pfluger a 64% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. August Pfluger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. August Pfluger — 64% model odds (won)
  2. Wesley W. Virdell — 6% model odds
  3. Brandon Batch — 4% model odds
  4. Jamie Berryhill — 4% model odds
  5. J. Ross Lacy — 4% model odds
  6. J.D. Faircloth — 4% model odds
  7. Casey Gray — 4% model odds
  8. Robert Tucker — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts