Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Johnny Teague a 33% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Johnny Teague won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Johnny Teague — 33% model odds (won)
2. Jon Menefee — 33% model odds
3. Julian A. Martinez — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts