Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Brady an 83% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Kevin Brady won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Brady — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Melissa Esparza-Mathis — 7% model odds
  3. Alfred Molison — 7% model odds
  4. Kirk Osborn — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts