Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John # Ratcliffe a 10% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. John # Ratcliffe won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John # Ratcliffe — 10% model odds (won)
  2. Jason Ross — 10% model odds
  3. Trace Johannesen — 10% model odds
  4. Pat # Fallon — 6% model odds
  5. Patrick # Fallon — 6% model odds
  6. Travis Ransom — 6% model odds
  7. Rodney Adams — 6% model odds
  8. Casey Campbell — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts