Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sima Ladjevardian a 93% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Sima Ladjevardian won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sima Ladjevardian — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Elisa Cardnell — 4% model odds
  3. Travis Olsen — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts