Tennessee Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Natisha Brooks a 10% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2020 primary. Bill Hagerty won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Natisha Brooks — 10% model odds
  2. Kent A. Morrell — 10% model odds
  3. Bill Hagerty — 6% model odds (won)
  4. Manny Sethi — 6% model odds
  5. George S., Jr. Flinn — 6% model odds
  6. Jon Henry — 6% model odds
  7. Byron Bush — 6% model odds
  8. Clifford Adkins — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts