Tennessee Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Pickrell a 45% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2020 primary. Marquita Bradshaw won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mark Pickrell — 45% model odds
  2. Marquita Bradshaw — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Robin Kimbrough — 14% model odds
  4. James Mackler — 14% model odds
  5. Gary G. Davis — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts