Tennessee House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Erika Stotts Pearson a 39% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2020 primary. Erika Stotts Pearson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Erika Stotts Pearson — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Lawrence A. Pivnick — 39% model odds
  3. Savannah Williamson — 11% model odds
  4. Hollis W. Skinner — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts