Tennessee House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Diana Harshbarger a 47% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2020 primary. Diana Harshbarger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Diana Harshbarger — 47% model odds (won)
  2. Timothy Hill — 13% model odds
  3. David B. Hawk — 4% model odds
  4. Steve Darden — 3% model odds
  5. Rusty Crowe — 3% model odds
  6. Joshua Gapp — 3% model odds
  7. John Clark — 3% model odds
  8. Nichole Williams — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts