South Carolina Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lindsey Graham a 58% chance of winning the South Carolina Senate 2020 primary. Lindsey Graham won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lindsey Graham — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Reynolds — 28% model odds
  3. Michael Lapierre — 7% model odds
  4. Duke Buckner — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts