Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Guy Reschenthaler a 78% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Guy Reschenthaler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Guy Reschenthaler — 78% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts