Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Bognet an 82% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Jim Bognet won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Bognet — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Marsicano — 5% model odds
  3. Teddy Daniels — 4% model odds
  4. Earl Granville — 3% model odds
  5. Harry Haas — 3% model odds
  6. Mike Cammisa — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts