Oregon Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Verbeek a 30% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2020 primary. Joe Rae Perkins won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. John Verbeek — 30% model odds
2. Joe Rae Perkins — 14% model odds (won)
3. Paul J., Jr. Romero — 14% model odds
4. Robert Schwartz — 14% model odds
5. Scattered — 14% model odds
6. Ibrahim A. Taher — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts