Oregon House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave G. Shane Dinkel a 52% chance of winning the Oregon House 2020 primary. Amy Ryan Courser won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. G. Shane Dinkel — 52% model odds
  2. Amy Ryan Courser — 12% model odds (won)
  3. Joey Nations — 12% model odds
  4. Angela Roman — 12% model odds
  5. Scattered — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts