Oregon House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kurt Schrader a 52% chance of winning the Oregon House 2020 primary. Kurt Schrader won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kurt Schrader — 52% model odds (won)
2. Mark F. Gamba — 38% model odds
3. Blair G. Reynolds — 5% model odds
4. Scattered — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts