Oregon House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alek Skarlatos a 68% chance of winning the Oregon House 2020 primary. Alek Skarlatos won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alek Skarlatos — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Nelson Ijih — 16% model odds
  3. Scattered — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts