Oregon House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Earl Blumenauer an 80% chance of winning the Oregon House 2020 primary. Earl Blumenauer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Earl Blumenauer — 80% model odds (won)
2. Albert Lee — 6% model odds
3. Matthew S. Davis — 4% model odds
4. Scattered — 4% model odds
5. Charles Rand Barnett — 3% model odds
6. Dane Wilcox — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts