Oklahoma House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stephanie Bice a 53% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2020 primary. Terry Neese won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Stephanie Bice — 53% model odds
  2. Shelli Landon — 9% model odds
  3. Terry Neese — 7% model odds (won)
  4. David Hill — 7% model odds
  5. Janet Barresi — 5% model odds
  6. Jake A. Merrick — 5% model odds
  7. Michael Ballard — 5% model odds
  8. Miles V. Rahimi — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts