Ohio House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Larsen a 46% chance of winning the Ohio House 2020 primary. Shannon M. Freshour won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mike Larsen — 46% model odds
  2. Shannon M. Freshour — 27% model odds (won)
  3. Jeffrey A. Sites — 27% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts