New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dana Balter an 85% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Dana Balter won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dana Balter — 85% model odds (won)
2. John M. Katko — 5% model odds
3. Francis Conole — 5% model odds
4. Scattered — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts