New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kyle Van De Water a 25% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Kyle Van De Water won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kyle Van De Water — 25% model odds (won)
2. Ola Hawatmeh — 25% model odds
3. Scattered — 25% model odds
4. Steven Greenfield — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts