New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ritchie Torres a 41% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Ritchie Torres won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ritchie Torres — 41% model odds (won)
  2. Samelys Lopez — 15% model odds
  3. Tomas Ramos — 10% model odds
  4. Michael A. Blake — 6% model odds
  5. Ruben Diaz — 4% model odds
  6. Ydanis Rodriguez — 3% model odds
  7. Melissa Mark-Viverito — 3% model odds
  8. Chivona R. Newsome — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts