New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adriano Espaillat a 75% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Adriano Espaillat won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Adriano Espaillat — 75% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 13% model odds
3. James Felton, Ii Keith — 7% model odds
4. Ramon Rodriguez — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts