New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carolyn B. Maloney a 29% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Carolyn B. Maloney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carolyn B. Maloney — 29% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 29% model odds
  3. Suraj Patel — 14% model odds
  4. Lauren Ashcraft — 14% model odds
  5. Peter Harrison — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts