New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nicole Malliotakis a 46% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Nicole Malliotakis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nicole Malliotakis — 46% model odds (won)
  2. Nicole Malliotakis — 46% model odds
  3. Joseph M. Caldarera — 4% model odds
  4. Scattered — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts