New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yvette D. Clarke a 55% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Yvette D. Clarke won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Yvette D. Clarke — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Adem Bunkeddeko — 16% model odds
  3. Isiah James — 15% model odds
  4. Chaim Deutsch — 8% model odds
  5. Scattered — 4% model odds
  6. Lutchi Gayot — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts