New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grace Meng an 89% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Grace Meng won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Grace Meng — 89% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 5% model odds
3. Melquiades R. Gagarin — 3% model odds
4. Sandra Choi — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts