New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Douglas L. Tuman a 40% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Douglas L. Tuman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Douglas L. Tuman — 40% model odds (won)
2. Cindy B. Grosz — 15% model odds
3. Scattered — 15% model odds
4. Douglas L. Tuman — 15% model odds
5. Joseph R. Naham — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts