New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas R. Suozzi a 34% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Thomas R. Suozzi won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Thomas R. Suozzi — 34% model odds (won)
2. Thomas R. Suozzi — 34% model odds
3. Melanie D'Arrigo — 27% model odds
4. Michael Weinstock — 2% model odds
5. Scattered — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts