New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew R. Garbarino a 27% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Andrew R. Garbarino won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Andrew R. Garbarino — 27% model odds (won)
2. Andrew R. Garbarino — 27% model odds
3. Mike Lipetri — 26% model odds
4. Scattered — 10% model odds
5. Harry R. Burger — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts