New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy S. Goroff a 67% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Nancy S. Goroff won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Nancy S. Goroff — 67% model odds (won)
2. Lee M. Zeldin — 15% model odds
3. Bridget M. Fleming — 6% model odds
4. Perry Gershon — 5% model odds
5. Gregory-John Fischer — 3% model odds
6. Scattered — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts