Nevada House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Marchant a 50% chance of winning the Nevada House 2020 primary. Jim Marchant won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Marchant — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Lisa Song Sutton — 27% model odds
  3. Sam Peters — 7% model odds
  4. Charles Navarro — 3% model odds
  5. Rebecca Wood — 3% model odds
  6. Leo Blundo — 3% model odds
  7. Rosalie Bingham — 3% model odds
  8. Randi Reed — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts