Nevada House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Citlaly Larios-Elias a 27% chance of winning the Nevada House 2020 primary. Joyce Bentley won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Citlaly Larios-Elias — 27% model odds
2. Joyce Bentley — 25% model odds (won)
3. Eddie "Mrlasvegas" Hamilton — 25% model odds
4. Josh Elliott — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts