New Mexico Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark V. Ronchetti a 33% chance of winning the New Mexico Senate 2020 primary. Mark V. Ronchetti won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark V. Ronchetti — 33% model odds (won)
2. Elisa Maria Martinez — 33% model odds
3. Gavin S. Clarkson — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts