New Mexico House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alexis M. Johnson a 25% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2020 primary. Alexis M. Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Alexis M. Johnson — 25% model odds (won)
2. Harry B. Montoya — 25% model odds
3. Karen Evette Bedonie — 25% model odds
4. Angela Gale Morales — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts