New Mexico House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yvette Herrell a 77% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2020 primary. Yvette Herrell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Yvette Herrell — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Claire Chase — 15% model odds
  3. Chris Mathys — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts