New Jersey Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hirsh Singh a 25% chance of winning the New Jersey Senate 2020 primary. Rikin "Rik" Mehta won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Hirsh Singh — 25% model odds
  2. Rikin "Rik" Mehta — 12% model odds (won)
  3. Patricia Flanagan — 12% model odds
  4. Natalie Lynn Rivera — 12% model odds
  5. Eugene T. Anagnos — 12% model odds
  6. Madelyn R. Hoffman — 12% model odds
  7. Daniel Burke — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts