New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bonnie Watson Coleman an 85% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Bonnie Watson Coleman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bonnie Watson Coleman — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Lisa Mccormick — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts