New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald M., Jr. Payne a 92% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Donald M., Jr. Payne won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Donald M., Jr. Payne — 92% model odds (won)
2. Eugene D. Mazo — 4% model odds
3. John J. Flora — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts