New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill, Jr. Pascrell a 62% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Bill, Jr. Pascrell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill, Jr. Pascrell — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Zinovia Spezakis — 34% model odds
  3. Alpaslan "Alp" Basaran — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts