New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Albio Sires a 93% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Albio Sires won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Albio Sires — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Hector Oseguera — 4% model odds
  3. Will Sheehan — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts