New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank T. Pallotta a 65% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Frank T. Pallotta won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Frank T. Pallotta — 65% model odds (won)
2. Hector Luis Castillo — 20% model odds
3. John J., Jr. Mccann — 9% model odds
4. James Baldini — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts